Baden vs Luzern II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
51.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SCH
2 - 2
BAD
48%
23%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
DEL
1 - 0
BAD
42%
24%
34%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
BAD
3 - 1
FCS
71%
17%
13%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
BAD
3 - 8
STG
6%
11%
83%
|
41 | 74 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
BLA
2 - 3
BAD
52%
22%
27%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
LUZ
4 - 4
DEL
68%
18%
14%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
FCS
3 - 4
LUZ
14%
18%
68%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
LUZ
3 - 2
BLA
71%
17%
12%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
LAN
1 - 5
LUZ
26%
22%
52%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
LUZ
0 - 1
LAN
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |