Baden vs Freienbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
15%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BAD
2 - 4
BIE
36%
22%
42%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
MUT
0 - 7
BAD
19%
20%
61%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
BUO
1 - 2
BAD
18%
21%
61%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
BAD
4 - 1
MUT
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
DEL
1 - 2
BAD
43%
24%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
FCG
0 - 1
FRE
21%
19%
60%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
FRE
3 - 2
RTK
68%
16%
16%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 3
FRE
29%
22%
49%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
FRE
3 - 1
FCA
95%
4%
1%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
FCM
1 - 2
FRE
37%
22%
41%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |