CD Badajoz vs RM Castilla analysis


41	ELO	53
1.8%	Tilt	8.1%
18672º	General ELO ranking	1878º
5428º	Country ELO ranking	60º
ELO win probability

30.3%

CD Badajoz

25.2%

Draw

44.5%

RM Castilla

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

30.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%

25.2%

Draw

0-0

6.4%

1-1

11.9%

2-2

5.6%

3-3

1.2%

4-4

0.1%

5-5

<0%

0

25.2%

44.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Badajoz

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
17 Sep. 1972	CDB 1 - 1 POR 57% 25% 18%	39	43	4	0
10 Sep. 1972	XER 1 - 1 CDB 63% 23% 14%	38	49	11	+1
03 Sep. 1972	CDB 2 - 1 SFE 74% 17% 10%	38	33	5	0
21 May. 1972	CDB 3 - 0 CDB 67% 20% 14%	39	43	4	-1
14 May. 1972	CDB 2 - 1 CPC 57% 24% 19%	38	40	2	+1