Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
CD Badajoz vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Badajoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
MAD
2 - 1
CDB
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CDB
2 - 0
PUE
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 5
CDB
15%
20%
66%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CDB
0 - 0
EXT
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
AZU
2 - 2
CDB
20%
21%
60%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
IMP
0 - 0
CFC
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LUA
0 - 3
IMP
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
IMP
4 - 0
CIE
79%
15%
6%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 0
IMP
51%
25%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
IMP
1 - 1
CAR
68%
19%
14%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |