Bacabal vs Maranhão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
46.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bacabal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SAB
0 - 1
BAC
23%
22%
55%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
BAC
4 - 3
SAM
25%
24%
51%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
JOS
2 - 1
BAC
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
MOT
2 - 1
BAC
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
JOS
4 - 1
BAC
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Maranhão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
QUI
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
IMP
2 - 3
MAR
42%
25%
34%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
COR
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAB
0 - 1
MAR
15%
19%
66%
|
47 | 12 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 2
MAR
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |