Bacabal vs JV Lideral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
50%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bacabal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
BAC
1 - 1
IMP
36%
26%
39%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
IDM
1 - 1
BAC
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
BAC
0 - 2
SEN
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
JVL
3 - 1
BAC
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
SAM
2 - 0
BAC
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
JV Lideral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
JVL
5 - 1
MAR
60%
21%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 2
JVL
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
JVL
1 - 0
IMP
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
IDM
2 - 5
JVL
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
JVL
3 - 1
BAC
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |