Břeclav vs Pelhřimov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
44.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
11º
16º
14º
23
11º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 60 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 57 |
3º
|
54% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 46 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 46 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 42 |
8º
|
45% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 40 |
9º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 36 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 34 |
11º
|
41% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 34 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 30 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 28 |
14º
|
33.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 27 |
15º
|
47.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
64% | 84.5% |
|
Relegation
|
36% | 15.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Břeclav
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
VRC
2 - 0
BEC
74%
16%
11%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BEC
4 - 1
HUM
46%
23%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 1
BEC
46%
23%
31%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BEC
0 - 2
STA
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BRN
1 - 0
BEC
84%
11%
6%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Pelhřimov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PEL
0 - 2
HAV
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 1
PEL
30%
21%
49%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ARN
4 - 2
PEL
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 1
VRC
33%
23%
45%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
HUM
0 - 0
PEL
31%
22%
48%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |