Bærum vs Junkeren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
36.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
12º
12º
27
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
ASK
0 - 2
BAR
40%
23%
37%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 3
BAR
56%
21%
23%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 3
ALT
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
STR
3 - 2
BAR
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
SSK
30%
23%
47%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Junkeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
IKJ
5 - 0
IFC
86%
10%
5%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
IKJ
1 - 2
TRO
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ULL
1 - 1
IKJ
59%
22%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
IKJ
1 - 4
LEV
28%
23%
49%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
STR
2 - 3
IKJ
30%
22%
48%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |