B 1903 vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
59%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B 1903
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
KOL
2 - 0
B19
89%
8%
3%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1973 |
B19
1 - 2
DYN
13%
19%
68%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
DYN
1 - 0
B19
88%
8%
4%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
AIK
1 - 1
B19
71%
16%
13%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
B19
2 - 1
AIK
39%
21%
40%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
KFC
1 - 1
KOL
19%
23%
58%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
KOL
3 - 2
MSV
69%
17%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
KOL
2 - 0
B19
89%
8%
3%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
BRE
3 - 2
KOL
33%
25%
42%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
KOL
1 - 1
HSV
62%
20%
18%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |