AZSV Aalten vs SDV Barneveld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
4º
13º
4º
37
11º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
51% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZSV Aalten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
EEM
1 - 0
AZS
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AZS
0 - 0
GEN
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BUI
0 - 0
AZS
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 0
AZS
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
AZS
2 - 0
BER
39%
25%
37%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SDV Barneveld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SDV
3 - 1
BER
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SWI
3 - 0
SDV
71%
16%
12%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SDV
2 - 0
APE
23%
22%
55%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DET
2 - 0
SDV
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SDV
0 - 2
HUI
21%
21%
58%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -2 |