Azerbaijan vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
63.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
CRO
6 - 0
AZE
83%
13%
4%
|
66 | 91 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 1
AZE
83%
14%
3%
|
66 | 92 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
AZE
1 - 2
BGR
15%
25%
60%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
RUS
4 - 0
AZE
82%
14%
4%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
AZE
0 - 0
UZB
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 1
EST
66%
21%
13%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 1
BGR
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
MLT
0 - 3
NOR
12%
20%
68%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 2
ITA
23%
26%
51%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
ENG
1 - 0
NOR
73%
18%
10%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |