AZ Alkmaar vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
GRO
2 - 0
AZA
12%
21%
68%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
CLU
0 - 1
AZA
23%
24%
53%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
AZA
5 - 1
UTR
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BVO
1 - 3
AZA
29%
24%
48%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
AZA
1 - 0
JAB
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
ZWO
4 - 1
GRA
25%
23%
52%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ZWO
1 - 0
HER
28%
25%
47%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
PSV
3 - 1
ZWO
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ZWO
0 - 1
SCH
25%
23%
52%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
UTR
5 - 1
ZWO
72%
18%
11%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |