AZ Alkmaar vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
DYN
2 - 0
AZA
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
AZA
1 - 1
GEN
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
ADO
1 - 0
AZA
18%
22%
61%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
AZA
3 - 1
VKP
41%
26%
34%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
AZA
0 - 2
MON
54%
24%
23%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ZWO
0 - 2
FEY
17%
21%
62%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
SCH
0 - 1
ZWO
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2020 |
FCE
0 - 1
ZWO
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
GRO
0 - 2
ZWO
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
HER
0 - 1
ZWO
62%
20%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |