AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
BET
2 - 0
AZA
49%
25%
25%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2006 |
SPA
0 - 1
AZA
25%
23%
53%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
RBC
0 - 5
AZA
16%
22%
62%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
AZA
1 - 1
VIT
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2006 |
AZA
4 - 0
MVV
82%
12%
6%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
UTR
1 - 1
NEC
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
UTR
1 - 2
PSV
21%
24%
56%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
TWE
3 - 0
UTR
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 4
UTR
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
UTR
2 - 2
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |