AZ Alkmaar vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
AJA
6 - 2
AZA
79%
13%
8%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
AZA
1 - 3
VIT
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2002 |
AZA
4 - 1
GRO
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
EXC
1 - 2
AZA
61%
20%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 2
AZA
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
TWE
1 - 1
SCH
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
GRA
0 - 1
TWE
34%
25%
40%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
TWE
3 - 3
RJC
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
NAC
2 - 0
TWE
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
TWE
1 - 5
FEY
25%
26%
48%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |