Europa League 1/16
Global 2-3
AZ Alkmaar vs Real Betis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
AZA
2 - 3
UTR
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
BET
2 - 0
AZA
49%
25%
25%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2006 |
SPA
0 - 1
AZA
25%
23%
53%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
RBC
0 - 5
AZA
16%
22%
62%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
AZA
1 - 1
VIT
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Betis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
FCB
5 - 1
BET
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
BET
2 - 0
AZA
49%
25%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
BET
0 - 1
DEP
38%
27%
35%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
ZAR
4 - 3
BET
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
OSA
0 - 2
BET
47%
26%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |