AZ Alkmaar vs Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
AZA
2 - 4
SCH
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
WIL
1 - 1
AZA
17%
22%
61%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
AZA
0 - 0
MUD
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
AZA
2 - 0
HER
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
FEY
0 - 3
AZA
46%
23%
31%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
AST
3 - 1
KAI
47%
23%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ORD
1 - 1
AST
28%
27%
46%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
AST
1 - 2
PAR
47%
25%
29%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
AST
3 - 0
KAI
73%
18%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
ATY
1 - 4
AST
12%
22%
67%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |