Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 5-2
AZ Alkmaar vs Antwerp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
20.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
AZA
0 - 0
GRO
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
AZA
4 - 0
ILL
66%
21%
14%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
RKC
0 - 2
AZA
11%
18%
71%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
ILL
0 - 0
AZA
20%
22%
59%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
AZA
4 - 0
FOR
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Antwerp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
ANT
2 - 0
STR
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
VKP
2 - 1
ANT
60%
21%
20%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 1
ANT
43%
26%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
ANT
1 - 0
VKP
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
ANT
4 - 1
WAA
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |