Europa League . 1/16
Global 2-1
AZ Alkmaar vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
AZA
1 - 1
RJC
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2005 |
AAA
0 - 0
AZA
35%
25%
40%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
AZA
0 - 0
PSV
29%
24%
47%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
SCH
1 - 3
AZA
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
BOS
0 - 1
AZA
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
KOL
1 - 0
AAA
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2005 |
AAA
0 - 0
AZA
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2005 |
AAA
2 - 3
UNT
62%
22%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
KSC
0 - 1
AAA
23%
24%
52%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
AAA
0 - 2
RWA
62%
22%
17%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |