AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
42.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
5º
4º
69
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
67 | 67 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
AZA
4 - 1
FCV
72%
16%
11%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AZA
1 - 1
TWE
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
SKD
0 - 1
AZA
26%
24%
50%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FCE
0 - 3
AZA
20%
23%
58%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
AZA
1 - 1
NEC
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
LIV
2 - 1
AJA
71%
17%
12%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AJA
5 - 0
SCH
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
AJA
4 - 0
GLA
75%
15%
10%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AJA
4 - 0
BVO
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
UTR
0 - 2
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |