AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
59.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
AZA
0 - 1
UTR
47%
24%
30%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
FEY
2 - 3
AZA
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
AZA
0 - 1
AJA
20%
21%
60%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
AZA
2 - 1
ADO
72%
18%
11%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
PSV
1 - 3
AZA
53%
23%
25%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
AJA
3 - 1
WIL
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 2
AJA
9%
15%
77%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
AZA
0 - 1
AJA
20%
21%
60%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 0
FEY
64%
19%
17%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2021 |
TWE
1 - 3
AJA
9%
15%
76%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |