AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
53.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2019 |
MUD
4 - 0
AZA
44%
24%
32%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
ZWO
0 - 3
AZA
11%
18%
72%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
AZA
1 - 0
VVV
75%
17%
9%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
AZA
2 - 2
PAR
54%
24%
22%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
UTR
0 - 3
AZA
26%
23%
51%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
AJA
0 - 1
VCF
51%
23%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
AJA
0 - 2
WIL
83%
12%
6%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
TWE
2 - 5
AJA
8%
15%
77%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
LIL
0 - 2
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 1
HER
83%
12%
6%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |