AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
53.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ZWO
0 - 0
AZA
17%
20%
63%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
AZA
4 - 2
FOR
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
WIL
1 - 1
AZA
22%
22%
56%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
WIL
2 - 1
AZA
15%
20%
65%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
AZA
3 - 0
VVV
69%
18%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
AJA
2 - 1
ZWO
84%
12%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 0
FOR
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
RMA
1 - 4
AJA
72%
16%
12%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
FEY
0 - 3
AJA
32%
24%
44%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ADO
1 - 5
AJA
10%
17%
73%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |