AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
52.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1998 |
FEY
1 - 2
AZA
73%
17%
11%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1998 |
AZA
3 - 1
MVV
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1998 |
NEC
2 - 2
AZA
52%
24%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1998 |
AZA
1 - 3
SCH
38%
24%
38%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
RKC
2 - 3
AZA
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1998 |
AJA
2 - 0
OLP
73%
16%
11%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
NEC
0 - 4
AJA
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1998 |
AJA
9 - 0
UDI
99%
1%
0%
|
89 | 38 | 51 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
AJA
4 - 0
BVO
83%
12%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1998 |
OLP
1 - 0
AJA
36%
26%
39%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |