AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
51.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
FOR
1 - 1
AZA
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1985 |
AZA
1 - 4
BOS
65%
22%
14%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1985 |
VOL
5 - 2
AZA
25%
24%
51%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1985 |
AZA
1 - 1
RJC
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1985 |
FEY
1 - 1
AZA
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1985 |
EXC
2 - 3
AJA
19%
23%
58%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
PSV
4 - 0
AJA
52%
23%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1985 |
AJA
5 - 2
VOL
94%
5%
2%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1985 |
RJC
2 - 3
AJA
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
AJA
4 - 2
FEY
70%
16%
14%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |