AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
63%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
14%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
TEL
0 - 0
AZA
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
AZA
2 - 2
NAC
39%
28%
32%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1972 |
GRO
4 - 2
AZA
58%
25%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
AZA
0 - 2
FEY
13%
20%
68%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
NEC
3 - 2
AZA
64%
23%
14%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
AJA
4 - 0
MVV
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
SPA
3 - 1
AJA
41%
27%
33%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1972 |
AJA
3 - 0
CSK
90%
7%
3%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1972 |
AJA
8 - 0
EXC
97%
2%
1%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
ADO
0 - 1
AJA
33%
28%
40%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |