AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
67.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
AZA
0 - 1
SPA
38%
31%
31%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1969 |
GAE
1 - 0
AZA
78%
13%
9%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1969 |
AZA
0 - 0
MVV
48%
26%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1969 |
NEC
1 - 0
AZA
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
AZA
0 - 0
VOL
53%
24%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
AJA
2 - 1
NEC
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1969 |
SPA
2 - 4
AJA
24%
26%
51%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1969 |
AJA
2 - 0
GAE
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1969 |
GRO
1 - 3
AJA
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
GRO
1 - 2
AJA
19%
25%
57%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |