Jong AZ vs Willem II Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
8.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong AZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2013 |
SPA
0 - 3
ALK
25%
21%
54%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
ALK
5 - 2
NAC
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
ALK
3 - 0
ROD
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
UTR
2 - 2
ALK
25%
21%
54%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
3 - 1
ALK
17%
19%
64%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2013 |
WIL
0 - 0
RKC
45%
24%
31%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
ALM
2 - 3
WIL
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
WIL
4 - 1
DBS
53%
22%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
FYN
2 - 0
WIL
65%
19%
17%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 0
GRA
41%
24%
36%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |