Holland Reserve League Round 9

Jong AZ vs Twente U21 analysis

Jong AZ Twente U21
26 ELO 28
16.1% Tilt 10.5%
1194º General ELO ranking 32670º
32º Country ELO ranking 544º
ELO win probability
57.5%
Jong AZ
19.5%
Draw
23%
Twente U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
Jong AZ
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
23%
Win probability
Twente U21
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Jong AZ
Twente U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jong AZ
Jong AZ
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 2015
VIT
Vitesse U23
2 - 0
Jong AZ
ALK
68%
17%
16%
27 34 7 0
26 Oct. 2015
VOL
Jong Volendam
2 - 0
Jong AZ
ALK
29%
23%
48%
29 22 7 -2
19 Oct. 2015
ALK
Jong AZ
1 - 1
Achilles '29 U21
ACH
91%
7%
3%
30 14 16 -1
28 Sep. 2015
ALK
Jong AZ
1 - 1
Groningen U21
GRO
68%
17%
16%
31 29 2 -1
14 Sep. 2015
ALK
Jong AZ
6 - 2
Jong Almere City
ALM
77%
13%
10%
31 24 7 0

Matches

Twente U21
Twente U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2015
GRA
De Graafschap U21
2 - 0
Twente U21
TWE
13%
18%
69%
31 15 16 0
05 Oct. 2015
TWE
Twente U21
1 - 2
Brabant United U23
BRA
86%
10%
5%
33 16 17 -2
14 Sep. 2015
TWE
Twente U21
0 - 1
Jong Sparta
SPA
58%
19%
22%
33 28 5 0
24 Aug. 2015
UTR
Utrecht U23
1 - 3
Twente U21
TWE
47%
22%
31%
31 29 2 +2
17 Aug. 2015
GRO
Groningen U21
3 - 2
Twente U21
TWE
47%
22%
31%
31 29 2 0