Jong AZ vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
52.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong AZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2019 |
ALK
0 - 0
TEL
44%
25%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
FCD
1 - 1
ALK
46%
23%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
TEL
3 - 2
ALK
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
ALK
3 - 2
SPA
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
EIN
0 - 1
ALK
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 0
JUT
82%
13%
5%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
BOS
4 - 1
EXC
32%
23%
45%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
ANO
1 - 2
EXC
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
KVK
4 - 0
EXC
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
HER
0 - 2
EXC
54%
22%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |