Aywaille vs Knokke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
66.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aywaille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
AYW
2 - 1
HUY
36%
23%
41%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
AYW
2 - 1
IZE
17%
21%
62%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | +5 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
LOY
0 - 4
AYW
8%
15%
77%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
AYW
0 - 4
SDL
6%
13%
82%
|
29 | 80 | 51 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
AYW
3 - 1
BER
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Knokke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 4
KNO
21%
22%
58%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
BER
1 - 1
KNO
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
KNO
1 - 2
BER
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
EEA
2 - 3
KNO
32%
25%
42%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
KNO
3 - 0
WES
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |