Ayr United vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
40.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1932 |
DUN
1 - 1
AYR
69%
17%
14%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1932 |
TLA
5 - 1
AYR
77%
12%
11%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1932 |
AYR
2 - 6
MHE
28%
22%
50%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1932 |
THE
4 - 0
AYR
29%
22%
48%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1932 |
AYR
3 - 2
CWB
47%
20%
33%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1932 |
STM
2 - 5
MHE
45%
23%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1932 |
DUN
1 - 1
STM
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1932 |
STM
7 - 1
CWB
59%
19%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1932 |
TLA
1 - 3
STM
56%
19%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1932 |
STM
3 - 1
CEL
47%
24%
30%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |