Ayr United vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
AYR
3 - 0
AIR
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
AYR
3 - 0
EAS
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
AYR
1 - 6
GLA
17%
21%
62%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
AYR
1 - 2
ALL
66%
21%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
QUE
1 - 4
AYR
18%
22%
60%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
RAI
2 - 2
ARB
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ALB
2 - 2
RAI
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
RAI
2 - 1
AIR
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
RAI
3 - 1
ALB
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
QUE
1 - 3
RAI
26%
26%
48%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |