Ayr United vs Hibernian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
24.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1938 |
ABE
5 - 2
AYR
70%
16%
14%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1938 |
AYR
2 - 2
KIL
48%
22%
30%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
QUE
1 - 3
AYR
51%
21%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
AYR
3 - 1
HOM
24%
20%
56%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
HAM
2 - 0
AYR
75%
13%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1938 |
RAI
1 - 2
HIB
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1938 |
HIB
3 - 1
QUE
62%
19%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
GLA
5 - 2
HIB
77%
14%
9%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
HIB
5 - 0
ABE
35%
24%
41%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
ALB
0 - 1
HIB
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |