Ayr United vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
55.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1960 |
DUN
2 - 2
AYR
68%
16%
16%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1960 |
AYR
1 - 1
ABE
53%
21%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1960 |
AYR
2 - 2
KIL
30%
25%
45%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1960 |
CLY
2 - 2
AYR
71%
16%
14%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1960 |
AYR
2 - 3
TLA
45%
22%
34%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1960 |
HOM
0 - 1
PAR
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1960 |
SLB
3 - 0
HOM
77%
13%
10%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1960 |
HOM
1 - 1
DUN
80%
12%
8%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1960 |
HOM
1 - 2
SLB
40%
22%
38%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1960 |
AIR
2 - 2
HOM
34%
22%
44%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | -1 |