Ayr United vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
49.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
3º
3º
73
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 0
AYR
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
AYR
2 - 0
GRE
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
AYR
1 - 0
DUN
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
AYR
3 - 2
QUE
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2024 |
EAS
3 - 2
AYR
24%
21%
56%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
FAL
3 - 0
RAI
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 3
FAL
15%
18%
67%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
QUE
0 - 1
FAL
21%
24%
55%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
LIV
1 - 0
FAL
27%
25%
48%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
FAL
2 - 0
AIR
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |