Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
FAL
2 - 0
AYR
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
HIB
1 - 2
AYR
71%
19%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AYR
2 - 1
GRE
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
AYR
3 - 2
AIR
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
AYR
1 - 1
STM
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
DUN
4 - 3
STM
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 1
DUN
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 3
DUN
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 5
DUN
41%
25%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
DUN
0 - 1
QOS
48%
25%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |