Ayr United vs Dundee United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ALL
0 - 2
AYR
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
AYR
1 - 2
GRE
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
AYR
1 - 2
STJ
39%
24%
37%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 1
AYR
41%
25%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
AYR
1 - 0
ICT
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dundee United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
DUN
2 - 0
DUN
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
DUN
2 - 1
ICT
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
ALL
0 - 0
DUN
23%
26%
50%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
DUN
0 - 1
ARB
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
HIB
4 - 2
DUN
59%
21%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |