Ayr United vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
AYR
1 - 4
QOS
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
RAI
1 - 1
AYR
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
AYR
1 - 1
FAL
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
CLY
3 - 0
AYR
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
AYR
1 - 2
STI
65%
19%
16%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
AIR
2 - 0
DUM
56%
24%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
GRE
2 - 2
DUM
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
DUM
1 - 1
ARB
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
ROS
5 - 0
DUM
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
ALL
1 - 2
DUM
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |