Ayr United vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
22.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
8º
5º
34
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
50% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
50% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
AYR
1 - 0
HAM
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
AYR
0 - 2
DUN
28%
27%
45%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 2
AYR
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
AYR
2 - 0
RAI
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
AYR
1 - 0
POL
83%
11%
5%
|
59 | 24 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ARB
1 - 4
ICT
36%
27%
38%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 4
ARB
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
ARB
1 - 4
QUE
32%
27%
42%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
RAI
1 - 1
ARB
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
ARB
1 - 5
DUN
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |