Ayr United vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
49.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
AYR
2 - 0
RAI
21%
27%
52%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
QOS
3 - 0
AYR
45%
25%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
AYR
1 - 1
HAM
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 2
AYR
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
AYR
2 - 1
ALB
60%
22%
19%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
ARB
0 - 0
ICT
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 3
ARB
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ARB
2 - 1
GRE
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 2
ARB
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
ARB
0 - 0
RAI
38%
27%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |