Ayr United vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1938 |
FAL
3 - 1
AYR
65%
17%
19%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1938 |
AYR
0 - 0
STJ
50%
21%
29%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1938 |
MHE
1 - 2
AYR
79%
12%
10%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1938 |
CEL
3 - 3
AYR
80%
11%
9%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1938 |
AYR
3 - 0
PAR
50%
22%
28%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1938 |
ARB
0 - 2
CEL
24%
21%
55%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1938 |
STM
1 - 1
ARB
70%
16%
14%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1938 |
ARB
2 - 4
HIB
43%
24%
33%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1938 |
ARB
0 - 5
TLA
36%
23%
41%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1938 |
FAL
2 - 0
ARB
77%
13%
10%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |