Aylesbury vs Dunstable Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
3 - 2
AYL
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
AYL
1 - 3
AYL
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
AYL
0 - 3
EGH
58%
21%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
AYL
1 - 2
DAV
24%
24%
52%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AFH
3 - 1
AYL
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Dunstable Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
DUN
4 - 1
KET
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 3
DUN
19%
21%
60%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
DUN
2 - 2
ROY
24%
22%
54%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 1
DUN
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 3
DUN
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |