Aylesbury vs Daventry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
POT
0 - 2
AYL
19%
23%
58%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
ROY
1 - 0
AYL
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
AYL
3 - 4
AYL
27%
24%
49%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
AYL
3 - 1
MAR
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
AYL
2 - 0
RUG
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Daventry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
DAV
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
BED
2 - 4
DAV
70%
19%
12%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
DAV
0 - 1
KET
16%
21%
62%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
DAV
2 - 0
AFH
68%
19%
13%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
STI
1 - 0
DAV
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |