Aylesbury vs Colney Heath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
7.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
STC
0 - 1
AYL
46%
21%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
COC
1 - 1
AYL
55%
20%
25%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AYL
0 - 1
CRA
52%
21%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 4
AYL
37%
22%
42%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
ARD
3 - 1
AYL
50%
21%
29%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Colney Heath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
COL
0 - 2
BIG
16%
17%
67%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
COL
0 - 2
STP
12%
16%
72%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
COL
2 - 3
BAL
27%
21%
53%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
COL
3 - 3
ARD
16%
19%
65%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
LEV
0 - 1
COL
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +1 |