Aylesbury vs Beaconsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ROY
5 - 0
AYL
74%
17%
9%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
EGH
3 - 1
AYL
62%
22%
16%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
AYL
3 - 2
FAR
16%
19%
65%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
AYL
1 - 4
BAR
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
AYL
1 - 3
WAR
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BEA
0 - 1
AFD
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BEA
0 - 5
BRA
19%
24%
58%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
ROY
4 - 1
BEA
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BEA
3 - 0
FEL
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
BEA
2 - 2
MAR
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |