Aylesbury vs Beaconsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 2
AYL
16%
21%
63%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
AYL
3 - 1
AFH
79%
14%
8%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
AYL
1 - 2
KET
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
RUG
1 - 3
AYL
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
AYL
3 - 1
NOR
49%
23%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BEA
4 - 0
AYL
36%
23%
41%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 0
BEA
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
NOR
3 - 0
BEA
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BEA
1 - 0
NOR
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2014 |
BEA
1 - 1
GOD
39%
24%
38%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |