FA Cup . 1/256
Global 3-1
Aylesbury United vs Westfield (Surrey) analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
38.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
WES
1 - 1
AYL
53%
21%
26%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
AYL
1 - 5
SHO
28%
23%
49%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
KET
4 - 3
AYL
54%
21%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
AYL
2 - 1
THA
50%
23%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CIN
1 - 3
AYL
66%
19%
15%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Westfield (Surrey)
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
WES
1 - 1
AYL
53%
21%
26%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
FLE
0 - 1
WES
44%
24%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
WES
2 - 1
SHR
79%
14%
7%
|
23 | 8 | 15 | 0 |