Aylesbury United vs Evesham United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
38%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
SAL
3 - 0
AYL
73%
18%
10%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
AYL
1 - 2
BED
22%
23%
54%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
RUG
4 - 0
AYL
61%
21%
17%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Dec. 2005 |
CHE
1 - 1
AYL
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2005 |
AYL
0 - 2
MER
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Evesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
EVE
3 - 0
RUG
31%
25%
44%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
BAT
2 - 0
EVE
60%
23%
17%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
EVE
1 - 2
MER
34%
26%
40%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2005 |
EVE
0 - 4
CIR
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
HIT
2 - 2
EVE
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |