Aylesbury United vs Barton Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
54.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
AYL
1 - 1
BEA
38%
24%
38%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 2
AYL
59%
21%
21%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
AYL
0 - 0
AYL
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
AYL
0 - 4
HAN
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
AFH
0 - 2
AYL
40%
23%
37%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Barton Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
HAN
2 - 3
BAR
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 2
KET
38%
25%
37%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 2
ROY
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
EGH
1 - 3
BAR
22%
22%
57%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
AYL
43%
25%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |